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Red152
463719.2
133461.2
201645.6
Blue172
32114.1
270541.0
25476.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411050150200250152172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
#42
61.21.5
60.261.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.0
254
#23
76.23.0
68.471.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2016
#48
45.61.5
43.244.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
2705
#27
41.03.0
35.338.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4637
#69
19.21.5
18.419.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
321
#71
14.13.0
8.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End