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Red127
216540.4
175650.4
208128.8
Blue196
69435.0
95542.1
98790.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97157050200250127196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#66
50.41.0
43.944.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 39.8
987
#3
90.22.4
79.181.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2165
#30
40.41.0
39.940.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
955
#33
42.12.4
33.836.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2081
#67
28.81.0
23.224.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.2
694
#74
35.02.4
34.336.8
Auto
Teleop
End