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Red106
107123.8
324227.1
314536.4
Blue72
361225.4
17235.4
63925.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions729005010015020010672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3145
#14
36.41.6
29.931.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
172
#75
35.40.8
36.435.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3242
#32
27.11.6
20.422.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
3612
#41
25.40.8
23.722.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1071
#87
23.81.6
24.225.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
639
#88
25.20.8
27.026.3
Auto
Teleop
End