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Red126
259067.4
174722.4
45859.3
Blue116
151946.9
84040.6
196727.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86118050100150200126116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#22
67.41.7
64.265.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.5
1519
#50
46.90.2
45.745.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1747
#54
22.41.7
19.020.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.3
840
#81
40.60.2
38.838.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4585
#38
9.31.7
8.29.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.9
1967
#55
27.20.2
28.428.6
Auto
Teleop
End