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Red222
151946.9
3376.7
46987.4
Blue203
246849.5
25476.2
1160.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21317850100150250300222203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#8
87.40.2
86.186.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
254
#23
76.20.3
75.475.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
#2
76.70.2
75.475.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
11
#24
60.10.3
59.359.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1519
#50
46.90.2
45.645.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
49.50.3
48.648.9
Auto
Teleop
End