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Red266
3376.7
151946.9
46987.4
Blue216
1160.1
25476.2
246849.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21317950100150250300350266216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#8
87.41.0
86.487.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.2
254
#23
76.20.5
75.776.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33
#2
76.71.0
75.776.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.6
11
#24
60.10.5
59.660.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1519
#50
46.91.0
45.946.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
49.50.5
48.949.5
Auto
Teleop
End