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Red64
453511.4
384737.6
193955.7
Blue83
216418.3
328441.8
316035.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80640501001506483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.70.8
41.040.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.9
41.80.8
27.228.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.60.7
27.326.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
35.31.1
26.527.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4535
#31
11.43.0
11.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
2164
#13
18.31.0
13.314.2
Auto
Teleop
End