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Red50
208019.0
172318.4
176420.0
Blue103
378425.1
484321.8
393731.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5450020408010012050103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#39
20.00.2
19.819.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.1
3937
#10
31.12.6
24.727.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2080
#26
19.00.2
18.618.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
3784
#21
25.12.6
18.621.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1723
#28
18.40.2
15.215.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
4843
#37
21.84.4
7.211.5
Auto
Teleop
End