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Red116
328441.8
45639.0
378425.1
Blue126
193955.7
455315.7
359331.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80834060100120140116126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.81.8
28.630.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.9
55.72.2
41.743.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
456
#22
39.01.8
31.232.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
31.22.2
27.229.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3784
#21
25.11.8
21.222.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
4553
#16
15.73.6
13.917.5
Auto
Teleop
End