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Red50
181025.6
378425.1
455315.7
Blue40
48497.0
173027.6
241022.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63632040801001201405040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1810
#24
25.60.7
20.920.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1730
#15
27.61.1
30.629.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3784
#21
25.10.7
24.423.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
2410
#14
22.01.1
22.421.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4553
#16
15.71.2
18.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.8
4849
#38
7.01.9
9.87.9
Auto
Teleop
End