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Red76
328441.8
447710.5
484321.8
Blue82
241022.0
27234.0
350732.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions724701001502007682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.80.4
37.237.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
3507
#11
32.51.5
28.530.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4843
#37
21.80.6
22.322.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2410
#14
22.01.5
20.221.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4477
#34
10.50.6
8.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
2723
#20
4.02.2
2.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End