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Red30
48417.7
378521.3
44969.0
Blue2
418314.3
414618.1
40185.7
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2834020406080100120302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.1
12.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4146
#50
18.12.6
14.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4496
#28
9.00.1
8.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4183
#45
14.32.6
12.59.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4841
#26
7.70.1
8.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4018
#46
5.72.6
6.23.6
Auto
Teleop
End