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Red16
265711.8
394413.7
284416.6
Blue81
84232.0
284017.8
378521.3
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175404060801001681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2844
#44
16.60.6
7.16.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 15.4
842
#31Sur
32.02.8
23.125.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3944
#39
13.70.6
5.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
21.32.8
12.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2657
#15Sur
11.80.6
9.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
2840
#13
17.82.8
12.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End