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Red25
318712.0
116416.7
412613.4
Blue0
9916.6
41116.3
418314.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3425020406080100250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1164
#10
16.70.6
11.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
4183
#45
14.32.2
9.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4126
#19
13.40.6
9.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.8
991
#22
6.62.2
9.47.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3187
#16
12.00.6
11.310.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
4111
#43
6.32.2
7.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End