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Red42
284017.8
462911.5
101113.8
Blue52
9969.8
116520.3
410212.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32290204060804252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2840
#13
17.80.9
15.616.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1165
#25
20.31.9
13.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1011
#24
13.80.9
8.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
4102
#14
12.71.1
8.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4629
#27
11.50.9
7.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
996
#21
9.81.9
7.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End