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Red61
315823.3
116416.7
40185.7
Blue18
394413.7
21285.5
313313.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321804060806118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.32.6
16.318.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.6
3944
#39
13.70.2
5.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1164
#10
16.72.6
10.913.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
3133
#30
13.30.2
5.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4018
#46
5.72.6
3.15.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2128
#32
5.50.2
9.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End