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Red22
41116.3
121212.2
45658.6
Blue46
101113.8
48417.7
49820.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19350103040506070802246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1212
#36
12.20.0
12.012.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.4
498
#12
20.61.1
14.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4565
#18
8.60.0
6.76.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1011
#24
13.81.1
10.912.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4111
#43
6.30.0
2.93.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4841
#26
7.71.1
7.28.3
Auto
Teleop
End