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Red26
48417.7
33216.7
182815.8
Blue35
313313.3
462911.5
42024.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331601020405060702635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#37
15.80.4
13.112.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
3133
#30
13.31.2
6.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4841
#26
7.70.4
8.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
4629
#27
11.51.2
9.510.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3321
#41
6.70.4
9.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
4202
#49
4.81.2
3.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End