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Red40
410212.7
318712.0
182815.8
Blue39
283910.9
44969.0
394413.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4119060801004039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#37
15.80.2
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
3944
#39
13.71.2
6.47.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4102
#14
12.70.1
12.612.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2839
#23
10.90.8
7.98.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3187
#16
12.00.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
4496
#28
9.01.2
8.19.3
Auto
Teleop
End