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Red40
318712.0
44969.0
315823.3
Blue32
301915.8
265711.8
45658.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46340204060801004032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.3
22.822.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
3019
#29
15.80.3
15.815.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3187
#16
12.00.3
12.312.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2657
#15
11.80.3
11.311.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4496
#28
9.00.3
9.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
4565
#18
8.60.3
8.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End