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Qual 102013 BattleCry 14
Red54
318211.6
22830.8
8819.8
Blue16
105819.8
15723.6
27139.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions675601001505416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
Unranked
30.80.6
31.8→31.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 7.2
157
Unranked
23.62.1
29.0→26.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
88
Unranked
19.80.6
20.0→19.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Level
1058
Unranked
19.82.1
18.6→16.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3182
Unranked
11.60.6
13.4→12.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.8
2713
Unranked
9.82.3
9.9→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—