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Red108
17639.5
34820.6
55837.3
Blue48
22830.8
6123.7
15723.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887805010015010848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
Unranked
39.51.1
33.634.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.7
228
Unranked
30.81.6
31.329.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
558
Unranked
37.31.1
33.034.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.7
61
Unranked
23.71.6
21.319.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
348
Unranked
20.61.1
20.021.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
157
Unranked
23.61.6
26.925.3
Auto
Teleop
End