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Red70
199129.6
46714.1
323615.6
Blue68
8819.8
18131.9
83921.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566501001502002503003504007068

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1991
Unranked
29.60.6
30.731.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
181
Unranked
31.90.2
25.525.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3236
Unranked
15.60.6
16.617.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
839
Unranked
21.50.2
18.919.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
Unranked
14.10.6
9.910.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
88
Unranked
19.80.2
19.419.6
Auto
Teleop
End