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Red63
5014.4
409711.0
23048.5
Blue101
234211.1
12665.9
13824.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63106015020025030063101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
48.50.3
51.651.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.4
126
Unranked
65.90.1
65.365.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4097
Unranked
11.00.4
13.813.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.2
138
Unranked
24.20.1
24.524.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
501
Unranked
4.40.4
4.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
2342
Unranked
11.10.1
9.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End