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Qual 272013 BattleCry 14
Red119
17238.3
216847.1
66312.4
Blue117
112416.6
13140.2
151946.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions96946080120140119117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2168
Unranked
47.11.3
42.8→44.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.3
1519
Unranked
46.81.0
46.3→47.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
172
Unranked
38.31.3
36.7→38.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 1.9
131
Unranked
40.21.0
40.9→41.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
663
Unranked
12.41.3
14.2→15.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 4.2
1124
Unranked
16.61.1
9.8→10.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—