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Red141
36232.7
12665.9
12548.1
Blue98
17238.3
264849.4
46714.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219705015020025014198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
Unranked
65.91.2
65.666.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.5
2648
Unranked
49.40.2
52.852.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
125
Unranked
48.11.2
51.352.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.8
172
Unranked
38.30.2
37.136.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3623
Unranked
2.71.2
0.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.4
467
Unranked
14.10.2
11.111.0
Auto
Teleop
End