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Red192
19556.1
105819.8
346764.5
Blue126
12123.6
147421.0
17639.5
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14565050100200250192126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
Unranked
64.53.0
62.465.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.0
176
Unranked
39.52.4
37.039.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
195
Unranked
56.13.0
54.157.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.5
121
Unranked
23.62.4
21.824.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
Unranked
19.83.0
15.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1474
Unranked
21.02.4
18.521.0
Auto
Teleop
End