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Red65
147421.0
107331.5
199129.6
Blue101
12665.9
16617.2
242321.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810505015020025030035065101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1073
Unranked
31.50.9
27.526.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 34.4
126
Unranked
65.90.0
61.261.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1991
Unranked
29.60.9
32.731.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.6
2423
Unranked
21.00.0
21.921.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1474
Unranked
21.01.1
22.521.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
166
Unranked
17.20.0
17.917.9
Auto
Teleop
End