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Red22
11520.2
50237.4
415920.1
Blue59
58112.2
186830.3
476513.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56553040506070802259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
Unranked
20.21.7
21.319.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.1
1868
Unranked
30.30.2
30.931.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4159
Unranked
20.11.7
25.523.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
4765
Unranked
13.60.2
12.012.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5023
Unranked
7.42.8
8.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
581
Unranked
12.20.2
12.112.3
Auto
Teleop
End