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Red30
135111.2
66812.8
50237.4
Blue42
11420.6
84029.4
41717.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265701001502002503042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
668
Unranked
12.80.0
12.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.6
840
Unranked
29.40.5
29.929.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1351
Unranked
11.20.0
9.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
114
Unranked
20.60.5
19.619.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5023
Unranked
7.40.1
8.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4171
Unranked
7.50.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End