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Red22
285413.5
84029.4
11520.2
Blue109
203516.0
167859.2
415920.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8584406010012014022109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
840
Unranked
29.43.0
40.637.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 29.8
1678
Unranked
59.21.1
45.546.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
20.23.0
23.920.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4159
Unranked
20.11.1
27.028.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2854
Unranked
13.53.0
18.315.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
2035
Unranked
16.01.1
14.015.2
Auto
Teleop
End