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Red40
11520.2
41717.5
84633.7
Blue58
145819.1
60426.1
97151.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions469401502002503004058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
846
Unranked
33.70.7
34.333.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 17.6
971
Unranked
51.31.4
44.643.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
Unranked
20.20.7
17.616.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.9
604
Unranked
26.11.4
24.422.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4171
Unranked
7.50.7
1.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
1458
Unranked
19.11.4
17.315.9
Auto
Teleop
End