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Red112
281314.9
214427.7
212243.0
Blue64
415920.1
84633.7
67026.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718605010015020025030011264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
Unranked
43.01.9
36.338.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
846
Unranked
33.71.0
33.732.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2144
Unranked
27.71.9
24.326.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
670
Unranked
26.31.0
29.528.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2813
Unranked
14.91.9
12.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
4159
Unranked
20.11.0
20.119.1
Auto
Teleop
End