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Qual 412013 CalGames
Red6
285413.5
476513.6
50237.4
Blue55
264321.4
418610.2
449812.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34430100150200250300655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4765
Unranked
13.61.5
13.9→12.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 7.8
2643
Unranked
21.40.7
22.6→23.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2854
Unranked
13.51.5
13.0→11.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
4498
Unranked
12.90.7
10.9→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
5023
Unranked
7.42.4
8.1→5.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.9
4186
Unranked
10.20.7
7.9→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—