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Red155
97151.3
186830.3
449812.9
Blue51
66812.8
214427.7
196724.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions836905010015015551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
Unranked
51.33.7
44.748.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.5
2144
Unranked
27.71.0
25.324.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
Unranked
30.33.7
30.534.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1967
Unranked
24.61.0
27.226.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4498
Unranked
12.93.7
5.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
668
Unranked
12.81.2
18.417.1
Auto
Teleop
End