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Red64
143813.7
6065.1
244323.5
Blue45
399311.5
59719.4
385112.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27310204060801006445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.53.1
12.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
597
#12
19.41.2
15.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1438
#56
13.73.1
8.111.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3851
#37
12.21.2
9.210.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
606
#63
5.13.1
6.59.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
3993
#28
11.51.2
5.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End