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Red39
14525.3
143813.7
98114.9
Blue77
68717.8
171738.0
97411.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225204060801003977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
981
#39
14.91.0
9.710.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 23.1
38.02.5
25.828.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1438
#56
13.71.0
13.614.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
687
#10
17.82.5
12.414.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1452
#34
5.31.0
3.54.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
974
#26
11.42.5
8.711.2
Auto
Teleop
End