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Red78
420111.3
244323.5
412317.3
Blue20
263712.3
14525.3
68717.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383302060807820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.53.4
15.018.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
687
#10
17.81.1
14.913.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4123
#42
17.33.4
13.517.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2637
#50
12.31.1
14.113.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4201
#30
11.33.4
8.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1452
#34
5.31.1
4.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End