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Red51
340812.7
119712.5
164411.9
Blue27
45747.9
143813.7
175912.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303801020506070805127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3408
#16
12.71.0
9.110.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1438
#56
13.70.7
14.513.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1197
#48
12.51.0
11.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1759
#35
12.70.7
13.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1644
#17
11.91.5
10.912.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4574
#45
7.90.7
8.67.9
Auto
Teleop
End