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Red68
330920.6
244323.5
340812.7
Blue113
351220.9
98114.9
59936.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546902040608010012068113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.50.3
23.223.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.4
599
#5
36.90.8
35.236.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.60.3
20.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3512
#14
20.91.1
18.619.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3408
#16
12.70.2
12.512.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
981
#39
14.91.0
12.713.7
Auto
Teleop
End