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Red70
97336.9
325617.1
119714.5
Blue43
5813.5
132322.2
142225.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68290204060801001207043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#3
36.90.7
28.128.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
1422
#14
25.40.7
17.117.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3256
#28
17.10.7
20.220.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
1323
#15
22.20.7
17.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1197
#27
14.50.7
13.714.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
581
#37
3.50.7
0.41.1
Auto
Teleop
End