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Red44
318918.0
349514.6
249315.4
Blue71
454310.6
167118.7
29420.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34450204060801004471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3189
#26
18.00.7
14.915.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
294
#18
20.32.3
20.422.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2493
#20
15.40.7
6.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
18.72.3
18.320.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3495
#19
14.60.7
13.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
4543
#30
10.62.3
4.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End