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Red54
208512.7
167834.6
11607.4
Blue35
47854.9
330311.2
196722.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions452802060801005435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.61.0
28.629.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.1
22.50.4
16.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2085
#23
12.71.0
8.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
3303
#21
11.20.4
7.78.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1160
#36
7.41.0
5.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
4785
#38
4.90.4
5.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End