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Red117
413517.0
132322.2
97336.9
Blue112
29521.1
167834.6
84031.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7285050100150200117112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#3
36.90.7
36.236.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
34.60.5
33.534.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1323
#15
22.20.7
21.522.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.8
840
#10
31.00.5
29.830.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4135
#16
17.00.7
16.217.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
295
#25
21.10.5
19.920.4
Auto
Teleop
End