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Red81
39931.4
138827.9
186821.7
Blue111
248926.9
318925.9
70132.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828520406010012014016081111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#11
31.40.0
31.831.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
701
#22
32.80.4
32.633.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
#15
27.90.0
28.328.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
26.90.5
26.727.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1868
#32
21.70.0
22.122.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3189
#12
25.90.4
25.626.1
Auto
Teleop
End