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Red30
318925.9
24736.4
186821.7
Blue23
44985.8
69210.1
60415.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions462504060801003023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3189
#12Sur
25.90.6
18.718.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.8
604
#17
15.10.4
12.512.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1868
#32
21.71.0
16.815.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
692
#33
10.10.4
10.19.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2473
#39
6.41.0
7.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
4498
#38Sur
5.80.4
5.45.0
Auto
Teleop
End