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Red48
318925.9
236717.7
285413.1
Blue54
5688.8
207316.4
85214.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373101020506070804854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3189
#12
25.90.6
18.018.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.5
2073
#28
16.41.8
9.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2367
#21
17.71.0
7.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
852
#25
14.41.8
11.913.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2854
#23
13.11.0
9.911.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
568
#24
8.81.8
10.212.1
Auto
Teleop
End