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Red50
85214.4
11518.4
60415.1
Blue54
11415.6
2536.5
138827.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060805054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#18
18.40.7
15.916.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.5
1388
#15
27.91.3
20.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
604
#17
15.10.7
14.315.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
114
#29
15.61.3
12.814.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
852
#25
14.40.7
10.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
253
#40
6.51.3
3.75.1
Auto
Teleop
End