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Red49
186821.7
60415.1
325612.8
Blue77
166242.1
30135.4
214420.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397102060801001201401604977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#32
21.70.3
18.318.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.4
42.10.7
41.542.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
604
#17
15.10.3
12.813.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
20.30.7
19.620.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3256
#45
12.80.3
12.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
3013
#50
5.40.7
4.75.4
Auto
Teleop
End