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Red129
39931.4
138827.9
186821.7
Blue106
85214.4
359827.7
145822.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions815702040100120140160129106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
#11
31.40.9
30.231.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
27.70.8
26.627.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
#15
27.91.0
26.627.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
22.20.8
21.221.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1868
#32
21.71.0
20.421.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.3
852
#25
14.40.8
13.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End